tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 22:29 EWR
    DL 2527 · Delta · 2h 19m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 29mBWI 17:00 to EWR 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.