tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 21:49 SDF
    DL 2842 · Delta · 1h 19m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 49mBWI 17:00 to SDF 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.