tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:23 LGA
    DL 520 · Delta · 2h 23m · 72% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 23mBWI 17:00 to LGA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.