tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:54 SMF
    DL 682 · Delta · 4h 55m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 54mBWI 17:00 to SMF 22:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.