tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 19:32 VPS → 21:59 ATL
    DL 2803 · Delta · 1h 28m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:53 ORD
    DL 1199 · Delta · 2h 09m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 27mVPS 19:32 to ORD 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.