tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 19:32 VPS → 21:59 ATL
    DL 2803 · Delta · 1h 28m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 ATL → 00:40 BWI +1 day
    DL 2590 · Delta · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 08mVPS 19:32 to BWI 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.