tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Grand Junction via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:12 DFW → 20:00 SLC
    DL 2812 · Delta · 2h 48m · 55% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 SLC → 21:54 GJT
    DL 4234 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Junction is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip4h 42mDFW 18:12 to GJT 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.