tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Orlando via Boston: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:19 ORD → 18:59 BOS
    DL 2816 · Delta · 2h 40m · 62% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 BOS → 23:30 MCO
    DL 1513 · Delta · 3h 16m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 12mORD 15:19 to MCO 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.