tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 19:14 CLT → 21:00 MSP
    DL 2820 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 MSP → 23:58 SEA
    DL 505 · Delta · 3h 50m · 83% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 44mCLT 19:14 to SEA 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.