tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Rapid City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 52%

  1. 19:14 CLT → 21:00 MSP
    DL 2820 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:54 MSP → 22:37 RAP
    DL 3714 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 2 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 23mCLT 19:14 to RAP 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.