tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Los Angeles via Orlando: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:04 CVG → 18:21 MCO
    DL 2824 · Delta · 2h 17m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:11 MCO → 21:35 LAX
    DL 872 · Delta · 5h 24m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 31mCVG 16:04 to LAX 21:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.