tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Sioux Falls via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 14:31 ATL → 16:09 MSP
    DL 2825 · Delta · 2h 38m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 19:38 FSD
    DL 3578 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 70% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 07mATL 14:31 to FSD 19:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.