tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:33 MCI → 13:30 DTW
    DL 2826 · Delta · 1h 57m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 DTW → 16:42 IAD
    DL 1787 · Delta · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 09mMCI 10:33 to IAD 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.