tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:33 MCI → 13:30 DTW
    DL 2826 · Delta · 1h 57m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 DTW → 18:29 JFK
    DL 2934 · Delta · 2h 11m · 79% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 56mMCI 10:33 to JFK 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.