tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:55 SEA → 17:40 LAX
    DL 2830 · Delta · 2h 45m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 LAX → 23:29 AUS
    DL 692 · Delta · 2h 57m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 34mSEA 14:55 to AUS 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.