tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Nashville via Los Angeles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:55 SEA → 17:40 LAX
    DL 2830 · Delta · 2h 45m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:31 LAX → 00:33 BNA +1 day
    DL 858 · Delta · 4h 02m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 38mSEA 14:55 to BNA 00:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.