tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:45 VPS → 17:05 ATL
    DL 2832 · Delta · 1h 20m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 42mVPS 14:45 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.