tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 82%

  1. 00:40 LAS → 05:46 MSP
    DL 2834 · Delta · 3h 07m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 11:57 SDF
    DL 3978 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 83% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 17mLAS 00:40 to SDF 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.