tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:40 MIA → 12:48 ATL
    DL 2836 · Delta · 2h 10m · 85% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 ATL → 17:23 EYW
    DL 2168 · Delta · 1h 58m · 79% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 43mMIA 10:40 to EYW 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.