tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:40 MIA → 12:48 ATL
    DL 2836 · Delta · 2h 10m · 85% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:31 ATL → 16:09 MSP
    DL 2825 · Delta · 2h 38m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 29mMIA 10:40 to MSP 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.