tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:40 MIA → 12:48 ATL
    DL 2836 · Delta · 2h 10m · 85% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:52 ATL → 18:42 IAD
    DL 2902 · Delta · 1h 50m · 71% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 199 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 04m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 02mMIA 10:40 to IAD 18:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.