tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:49 TUL → 21:59 ATL
    DL 2837 · Delta · 2h 10m · 75% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 ATL → 00:51 MIA +1 day
    DL 1589 · Delta · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 02mTUL 18:49 to MIA 00:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.