tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:49 TUL → 21:59 ATL
    DL 2837 · Delta · 2h 10m · 75% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:15 BNA
    DL 3121 · Delta · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 26mTUL 18:49 to BNA 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.