tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 16:05 BNA → 18:20 MSP
    DL 2843 · Delta · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 MSP → 23:58 RIC
    DL 5530 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 41m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 52mBNA 16:05 to RIC 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.