tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:05 BNA → 18:20 MSP
    DL 2843 · Delta · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 MSP → 23:09 CVG
    DL 1469 · Delta · 1h 49m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 04mBNA 16:05 to CVG 23:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.