tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 16:05 BNA → 18:20 MSP
    DL 2843 · Delta · 2h 15m · 71% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 MSP → 22:21 MEM
    DL 4035 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 16mBNA 16:05 to MEM 22:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.