tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:05 LAS → 08:45 SEA
    DL 2844 · Delta · 2h 40m · 96% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 SEA → 12:08 SFO
    DL 1412 · Delta · 2h 23m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 03mLAS 06:05 to SFO 12:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.