tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Atlanta via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:55 MSP → 10:05 DEN
    DL 2849 · Delta · 2h 10m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:58 DEN → 15:54 ATL
    DL 346 · Delta · 3h 00m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 03mMSP 08:55 to ATL 15:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.