tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Denver: arrives on time 87%

  1. 08:55 MSP → 10:05 DEN
    DL 2849 · Delta · 2h 10m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:26 DEN → 17:52 RIC
    F9 1582 · Frontier · 3h 26m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 57mMSP 08:55 to RIC 17:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.