tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Tampa: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:00 DTW → 09:38 TPA
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 38m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 59mDTW 07:00 to JFK 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.