tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via Tampa: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 DTW → 09:38 TPA
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 38m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:07 TPA → 13:53 LGA
    DL 2531 · Delta · 2h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 53mDTW 07:00 to LGA 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.