tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:44 TPA → 13:27 DTW
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:51 DTW → 16:55 BHM
    DL 4647 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 11mTPA 10:44 to BHM 16:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.