tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:44 TPA → 13:27 DTW
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 DTW → 18:00 PHX
    DL 1135 · Delta · 4h 06m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip10h 12mTPA 10:44 to PHX 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.