tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:44 TPA → 13:27 DTW
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 DTW → 17:44 RDU
    DL 1407 · Delta · 1h 45m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 00mTPA 10:44 to RDU 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.