tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → St Louis via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:44 TPA → 13:27 DTW
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:41 DTW → 17:23 STL
    DL 2822 · Delta · 1h 42m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 39mTPA 10:44 to STL 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.