tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:53 AVL → 09:00 ATL
    DL 2853 · Delta · 1h 05m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:22 ATL → 12:36 ORD
    DL 2894 · Delta · 2h 14m · 70% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 43mAVL 07:53 to ORD 12:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.