tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:53 AVL → 09:00 ATL
    DL 2853 · Delta · 1h 05m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:40 ATL → 15:01 EWR
    UA 1226 · United · 2h 21m · 82% on time, 9.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (9.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 08mAVL 07:53 to EWR 15:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.