tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → White Plains via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:25 DTW → 12:25 ATL
    DL 2856 · Delta · 1h 58m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:33 ATL → 18:03 HPN
    DL 5013 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 30m · 73% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 38mDTW 10:25 to HPN 18:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.