tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:25 DTW → 12:25 ATL
    DL 2856 · Delta · 1h 58m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 ATL → 16:41 XNA
    DL 5128 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 77% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 16mDTW 10:25 to XNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.