tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 18:22 MDT → 20:34 ATL
    DL 2857 · Delta · 2h 12m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:59 DTW +1 day
    DL 2940 · Delta · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 37mMDT 18:22 to DTW 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.