tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Hebron via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 17:30 SEA → 20:15 LAX
    DL 2861 · Delta · 2h 45m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 LAX → 06:07 CVG +1 day
    DL 458 · Delta · 4h 12m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 37mSEA 17:30 to CVG 06:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.