tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:47 EWR → 13:44 MSP
    DL 2864 · Delta · 2h 58m · 82% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 4h 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 20:35 SJC
    DL 2087 · Delta · 4h 07m · 68% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 241 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 46m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 50mEWR 11:47 to SJC 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.