Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

11:47 EWR → 13:44 MSP

DL 2864 · Delta · 2h 58m · 82% on time, 3.7% cancelled
1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
14:54 MSP → 16:09 PHX

DL 2284 · Delta · 3h 21m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.

Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).

Total trip7h 28mEWR 11:47 to PHX 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.