tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:47 EWR → 13:44 MSP
    DL 2864 · Delta · 2h 58m · 82% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:58 MSP → 18:19 MKE
    DL 4462 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 32mEWR 11:47 to MKE 18:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.