tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Hebron via Newark: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:10 MSP → 10:49 EWR
    DL 2864 · Delta · 2h 42m · 89% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Newark (EWR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:21 EWR → 15:33 CVG
    UA 3473 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 93% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 23mMSP 07:10 to CVG 15:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.