tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:38 BNA → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2867 · Delta · 1h 14m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:17 SRQ
    DL 3109 · Delta · 1h 39m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 39mBNA 12:38 to SRQ 17:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.