tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 12:38 BNA → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2867 · Delta · 1h 14m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 ATL → 18:52 SRQ
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 15mBNA 12:38 to SRQ 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.