tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:38 BNA → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2867 · Delta · 1h 14m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 ATL → 17:26 RIC
    DL 3152 · Delta · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip3h 48mBNA 12:38 to RIC 17:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.