tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 72%

  1. 12:38 BNA → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2867 · Delta · 1h 14m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:53 SMF
    DL 743 · Delta · 4h 54m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 15mBNA 12:38 to SMF 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.