tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Santa Ana via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:30 DTW
    DL 2869 · Delta · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 DTW → 11:06 SNA
    DL 1857 · Delta · 4h 46m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 06mDCA 06:00 to SNA 11:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.